With the
Lakers exiting the playoffs in the second round again last season, it was clear
that changes needed to be made to the roster. Signing Nash and Jamison have
made the Lakers one of the most improved teams in the league for the upcoming
season; however that is only half the battle in their quest to win a title.
Many teams improved this offseason, some perhaps even more so than the Lakers,
making their run at a 3rd title in 5 years all the more difficult.
There are 5 teams that finished better than the Lakers last season and 3 of
those 5 made it to their conference finals. The 4th team that made
it to the conference finals, the Celtics, looked great when it mattered and
continued their tradition of success without making a serious effort in the regular
season. Therefore it is fair to say that the Lakers had 6 teams finish better
than them last season and I would like to examine the offseason each of these
teams had and how they could stand in the Lakers way of a title in next year’s
season.
6. Chicago
Bulls
The Chicago
Bulls had the best record in the NBA last season even with the reigning MVP
sidelined for several stretches of the season. Last year the Bulls showed their
depth and toughness while Luol Deng emerged as a leader in Rose’s absence. Unfortunately
for Chicago, their season came to a screeching halt when Rose injured himself
again at the end of their opening game in the playoffs. The Bulls failed to escape the first round
and lost to a rejuvenated 76ers team. Word around the league is that Rose won’t
be returning to the team until March and as a result, the Bulls will not have
the best record in the league. Although they are probably good enough to make
the playoffs in the East, without him it seems unlikely that they will even get
home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. The Bulls will miss
not only Rose, but Omer Asik, CJ Watson, Ronnie Brewer, and Kyle Korver all
departed during the offseason. The NBA’s deepest team lost great roles players
and even with Rose probably wouldn’t win the Eastern Conference.
Eastern
Conference teams usually aren’t much of a concern because only one of them
could meet the Lakers in the Finals, but the Bulls were a very tough team last
season. Assuming Rose can come back at full strength, this team could make some
noise in the playoffs depending on matchups. However it seems incredibly
unlikely that the Bulls will win the Eastern Conference and as a result are the
least threatening team that finished ahead of the Lakers in last year’s
campaign.
5. Indiana
Pacers
Playing in
the opposite conference and considered one of the less popular franchises in
the league made the Pacers one of the best kept secrets in last year’s season.
Despite a very solid record in the regular season, it never seemed as though
they were going to compete for the NBA championship. All of that changed when
they took a 2-1 lead over the Miami Heat in the second round of the playoffs.
However the Heat responded by winning the next three games and eventually the
NBA Finals. The Pacers are a tough team and showed that in last year’s
playoffs, but they will look very different next season.
One of the
few teams that got worse in the offseason, the Pacers made a bizarre trade for
Ian Mahinmi with Dallas, giving the Mavs Darren Collison and Dahntay Jones.
They kept Roy Hibbert, a positive although they overpaid him, and let Leandro
Barbosa walk. The acquisitions of DJ Augustin and Gerald Green will do little
in terms of helping this team replace those losses.
Although the
Pacers could be the 3rd seed in the Eastern Conference it is very
unlikely that they will be able to beat the Celtics and Heat, who will both
stand in their way of making the NBA Finals. Don’t expect anything from the
Pacers other than a solid regular season and a second round exit again.
4/3. Oklahoma
City Thunder
The Thunder
were just 3 wins away from the NBA Finals and yet they find themselves as the 4th/3rd
biggest threat to the Lakers’ championship hopes. After beating the Lakers in
the second round of the playoffs, it would seem bizarre to see the Thunder
anything less than 2nd, but there is a method to the madness. For
the Lakers to reach the NBA Finals, or at least make the return significantly
easier, they are going to need a little help.
Despite being the standout as the best team in the Western Conference
last season, the Thunder faltered at the end of the year and didn’t earn the #1
seed. As a result the Lakers had to play the Thunder and if they had won, would
have had to play the scorching Spurs. Even if the Lakers had gotten by OKC,
winning against the Spurs in the following series was going to be difficult. Bottom
line is the Lakers need to try and avoid playing San Antonio and OKC, if they
would like to win the NBA Finals. Although the West is deep, there weren’t any
major upsets in this year’s Western Conference playoffs, and it seems unlikely
that there will be any next season. With little changes to their roster, the
Thunder are just a tad less scary then the Spurs only because they have been a
historically less successful team in the regular season.
3/4. San
Antonio Spurs
The Spurs
looked as though they were never going to lose again after their game 2 blowout
win against the Thunder. When reality set in, it set in hard as the Spurs
crashed into Earth losing 4 consecutive games and watching their historic
season come to an end. The Spurs retained everyone and have made it clear that
they believe they can win with the group of players that they had last year.
The Spurs have been better in the regular season than the Spurs and as a result
should pose a bigger threat although there is a catch. If the Lakers aren’t the
#1 seed in the west and have to go through the Spurs and the Thunder in order
to make the Finals, the Spurs are a more favorable match-up. That’s why that
Thunder and Spurs received two numbers as the first number represents their
likely to effect the Lakers winning the regular season crown in the West and
the second number represents their likelihood of preventing the Lakers from
getting to the Finals if they were to meet in the playoffs. The Spurs are no
slouch, but the Thunder have a couple miserable matchups and the Spurs are just
a more favorable matchup. The Spurs along with the Thunder will easily be the
two biggest threats to the Lakers winning the Western Conference Finals and it
is safe to say that one of these 3 teams will advance to the Finals from the
West.
2. Miami
Heat
LeBron James
finally showed how dominant he truly is and the Heat showed the NBA what all
the hype was about. Returning everyone and adding Rashard Lewis and Ray Allen,
it is impossible to make a claim that Heat got worse in the offseason even if
they didn’t get much better. Any improvement from t winning a championship is
rare and the Heat showed that coupling outside shooters with James and Wade is
deadly. That being said, the Heat weren’t all that impressive in the second and
third rounds of the playoffs and although they won, they were very close to not
making the finals. The Lakers match up pretty well with the Heat because of
size and although Lebron is a matchup nightmare, Wade seems to have slowed a
bit. I’m a big believer in letting Lebron get his, just play him tight and try
to make things difficult. The key to beating the Heat is preventing Chalmers,
Battier, Lewis, or Allen to get going. The Heat are the best team in the
Eastern Conference and the league, but there lack of size makes a matchup with
the Lakers a little easier for LAL. It’s definitely not a matchup that you
would want if you were looking for an automatic NBA Finals ring like when the
Lakers played Orlando, but the Heat aren’t the biggest threat to the Lakers in
the upcoming season.
1. Boston
Celtics
Being a
Lakers’ fan means that you hate certain players and teams and at the top of
that list is the Boston Celtics. That being said the Celtics were an incredible
surprise in the playoffs last year and showed how good they really are against
the Heat. Losing Ray Allen isn’t a factor with the additions of Jason Terry and
Courtney Lee. That combo should easily match the production of Allen and even
surpass what he brought to the team. Getting Jeff Green and Avery Bradley back
and healthy is going to be huge as well as getting Jared Sullinger and keeping
Bass and Garnett around. The Celtics have star power as well as depth and are
good on both sides of the ball. They are the most complete team in the league
and could very well beat the Heat. Although the Heat are probably a better
team, the Celtics are a tougher matchup for the Lakers and would be the least desirable
matchup in the Finals.
Many teams
improved during the offseason and these 6 teams are just the teams that
finished ahead of the Lakers last year. Teams like the Clippers, Nuggets,
Grizzlies, Knicks, Nets, and others will all be tough teams throughout the year
and could make some noise in the playoffs. The season definitely is shaping to
be exciting after this eventful offseason.